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ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC (AMD)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • AMD delivered record Q4 revenue of $7.66B (+24% y/y; +12% q/q) with non-GAAP EPS of $1.09 (+42% y/y) and non-GAAP gross margin of 54%; strength was driven by Data Center (+69% y/y) and Client (+58% y/y), partially offset by Gaming (-59% y/y) and Embedded (-13% y/y) .
  • GAAP EPS fell 29% y/y to $0.29 due to higher operating expenses and a one-time tax provision, despite higher revenue and margin; GAAP operating income rose 155% y/y to $871M .
  • Q1 2025 guidance: revenue ~$7.1B ±$300M (midpoint +30% y/y, -7% q/q) and non-GAAP gross margin ~54%; non-GAAP OpEx ~$2.1B, non-GAAP other net income ~$24M, tax ~13%, diluted shares ~1.64B .
  • Management emphasized accelerating AI roadmap (MI325 in volume; MI350 pulled into mid-year; MI400 in 2026) and sees Data Center and Client as primary growth engines in 2025; Data Center AI revenue topped $5B in 2024 with a multiyear path to “tens of billions” .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record Q4 revenue and non-GAAP operating income; mix shift to Data Center and Client expanded non-GAAP gross margin to 54% .
    • Data Center momentum: $3.9B revenue (+69% y/y) on strong Instinct GPU ramp and EPYC CPU growth; hyperscalers launched 100+ AMD instances in Q4 .
    • Clear AI roadmap and traction: MI325 volume ramp underway; MI350 sampling pulled into the quarter and production shipments accelerated to mid-year; MI400 targeted for 2026. “MI350 series… biggest generational leap… 35x increase in AI compute performance compared to CDNA 3” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • GAAP EPS declined 29% y/y to $0.29 on higher operating expenses and a one-time tax provision, despite higher revenue/gross profit .
    • Gaming revenue fell 59% y/y to $563M on lower semi-custom, with segment operating income down to $50M; discrete GPU revenue also declined as channels prepared for RDNA 4 .
    • Embedded revenue declined 13% y/y to $923M as end-market demand remained mixed; segment margin compressed (39% vs. 44% y/y) .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$5,835 $6,819 $7,658
GAAP Gross Margin %49% 50% 51%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %53% 54% 54%
GAAP Operating Income ($M)$269 $724 $871
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($M)$1,264 $1,715 $2,026
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.16 $0.47 $0.29
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.69 $0.92 $1.09

Segment breakdown

Segment ($M)Q3 2024 RevenueQ3 2024 Op IncQ4 2024 RevenueQ4 2024 Op Inc
Data Center$3,549 $1,041 $3,859 $1,157
Client$1,881 $276 $2,313 $446
Gaming$462 $12 $563 $50
Embedded$927 $372 $923 $362

KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & ST Investments ($M)$4,544 $5,132
Accounts Receivable, Net ($M)$6,288 $6,192
Inventories ($M)$5,374 $5,734
Total Debt ($M)$1,720 $1,721
Free Cash Flow ($M)$496 $1,091
CapEx ($M)$132 $208
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$1,887 $2,212
Diluted Share Count (M)1,6361,634

Note on estimates: S&P Global consensus estimates could not be retrieved via our tool at this time; therefore we do not present vs-consensus comparisons. Values were unavailable from S&P Global due to API limits.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance / ActualChange
Revenue ($B)Q4 2024~$7.5 ± $0.3 (Non-GAAP framework) $7.658 actual Above midpoint
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)Q4 2024~54% 54% actual In line
Non-GAAP OpEx ($B)Q4 2024~$2.05 $2.125 actual Modestly above
Non-GAAP Other (net) ($M)Q4 2024~$17 n/a disclosed in results (see GAAP OI&E tables) n/a
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)Q4 2024~13% 13% framework (non-GAAP)In line
Diluted Shares (B)Q4 2024~1.6371.634 actualSlightly lower
Revenue ($B)Q1 2025n/a~$7.1 ± $0.3 (midpoint +30% y/y, -7% q/q) New
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)Q1 2025n/a~54% New
Non-GAAP OpEx ($B)Q1 2025n/a~$2.1 New
Non-GAAP Other Net ($M)Q1 2025n/a~$24 New
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)Q1 2025n/a~13% New
Diluted Shares (B)Q1 2025n/a~1.64 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Data Center AI hardware (Instinct)MI300X ramp; OCI instances; roadmap to MI325X; annual cadence MI325X “production Q4’24”; record DC revenue; ZT Systems deal MI325 in volume; MI350 sampling pulled-in; MI350 production mid-year; MI400 in 2026 Accelerating
AI software (ROCm)Expanded ROCm 6.1.3 support; AI enablement MLPerf results; ROCm driving parity with H100 ROCm 6.3; +2.7x MI300X inference since launch; biweekly container cadence Improving
EPYC CPU share and demandPreviewed “Turin” (Zen 5) for 2H’24 5th-gen EPYC launched; strong cloud/enterprise “Well over 50% share” at majority of largest hyperscalers; 120+ new Turin platforms Strengthening
Client/AI PC momentumRyzen AI 300 announced; Ryzen 9000 launched Client +29% y/y; Ryzen AI PRO 300 Client +58% y/y; Dell to offer full Ryzen Pro portfolio; 150+ Ryzen AI platforms expected in 2025 Broadening
Gaming cycleRevenue -59% y/y; semi-custom down; prep for RDNA 4 Console update (PS5 Pro), Gaming down Gaming -59% y/y; channel normalized; RDNA 4 9070 series in early March Stabilizing post-reset
Embedded demandDown 41% y/y (inv. normalization) Down 25% y/y (mixed demand) Down 13% y/y; mixed end-markets; Versal Gen 2 launched Gradual normalization

Management Commentary

  • “2024 was a transformative year for AMD… Data Center segment annual revenue nearly doubled as EPYC processor adoption accelerated and we delivered more than $5 billion of AMD Instinct accelerator revenue.” — Dr. Lisa Su, CEO .
  • “MI350 series… 35x increase in AI compute performance compared to CDNA 3… sample lead customers this quarter and… accelerate production shipments to mid-year.” — Dr. Lisa Su .
  • “We exited 2024 with well over 50% share at the majority of our largest hyperscale customers.” — Dr. Lisa Su .
  • “For Q1’25… revenue ~$7.1B ± $300M… non-GAAP gross margin ~54%, non-GAAP OpEx ~$2.1B, non-GAAP other net income ~$24M, tax ~13%, diluted shares ~1.64B.” — Jean Hu, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Data Center GPU trajectory: 2025 first half roughly consistent with 2H24; stronger 2H expected as MI350 ramps; MI350 pull-in to mid-year is a positive; exit 2025 GPU run-rate higher than 2024 exit .
  • Server CPU competition and growth: AMD confident in growth across units and ASPs due to TCO/performance across Turin/Genoa/Milan portfolio, despite competitive pricing .
  • Segment seasonality for Q1: Data Center down about corporate average; Client and Embedded down more; Gaming down less than corporate average after inventory normalization .
  • Networking for AI: AMD leans into Ethernet ecosystem; developing in-house AI NIC (Pensando), building full rack-scale solutions for MI350/MI400 .
  • Gross margin path: Mix-driven; ~54% in 1H if mix holds; expected step-up in 2H with faster Data Center growth .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to pull S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS, revenue, and gross margin but were unable to retrieve data due to API rate limits. As a result, we cannot provide vs-consensus comparisons or beats/misses anchored to S&P Global this quarter. Values were unavailable from S&P Global.
  • Given management’s 2025 commentary (accelerating MI350 timing, stronger 2H, sustained EPYC demand), areas where estimates may adjust include: higher 2H Data Center revenues and margins, Client growth ahead of PC TAM on AI PC mix, and modest recoveries in Gaming/Embedded later in the year .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift to Data Center and Client is driving sustained non-GAAP GM at ~54% near term, with potential 2H uplift as MI350 ramps and Data Center outgrows the corporate average .
  • Data Center AI franchise surpassed $5B in 2024, with a pulled-in MI350 roadmap and strong hyperscaler traction positioning AMD for multi-year AI revenue expansion .
  • EPYC share gains at major hyperscalers and expanding enterprise adoption underpin CPU growth and margin durability .
  • Client momentum is outsized vs PC TAM on AI PC leadership (Ryzen AI), with a new Dell commercial portfolio broadening reach .
  • Gaming and Embedded are near trough dynamics (post inventory normalization, mixed demand); RDNA 4 launch and gradual embedded normalization present optionality, but visibility is still modest .
  • Near-term setup: Q1 seasonality (-7% q/q) is expected; focus on MI350 sampling/ship timing, incremental instance launches, and any 2H gross margin guide-up triggers .
  • Watch the ZT Systems acquisition close and potential divestiture of manufacturing assets as a catalyst for faster AI systems time-to-market .

Management/press materials cross-referenced above include: Q4 2024 8-K press release and slides , Q4 2024 earnings call transcript , Q3/Q2 8-Ks for trend analysis .